Originally Posted by
Back2future
In the 4+ years you have been here age 65 got into full swing and Alaska has had unprecedented growth because of their reaction to Delta's growth in Seattle. We've also merged with another airline which has bases that most of the ANC and SEA pilots would compare to Mogadishu.
Now that we've settled into the usual 3% growth per year that AAG feels comfortable with, I'd say that its a trend if the upgrade stays at 4 years for longer than 1 year.
I think we're saying the same thing. It has stayed sub 5 for the last yr and has been inching closer to 4 for a while. Even before integration. We've hired more this year, (and are told we're hiring the same next year), than we've ever hired before. We just had the largest upgrade bid in our history. Prior to that, the previous 4 years saw unprecedented hiring with 200-250 a yr. (Minus 1 yr of only 150ish). So we're "trending" towards shorter upgrade times and more hiring. This is not purely based on the minimal attrition we've had. If the same factors are in play for the foreseeable future. I can't see the percentage of bypasses changing keeping upgrades around 4, maybe sub 4 yrs.