Originally Posted by symbian simian

Off course upgrade time matters, but the people upgrading now were hired over a decade ago. Using that number to make a prognosis about upgrade time for future hires is not an exact science. Our upgrade in DTW went from 10 to 2 years in one class because of no hiring for 4 years and all DTW FOs were where they wanted to be. If you want to make a (more?) educated guess you need to look at standing bids, forecast retirements and forecast growth (and hope and pray nothing else changes in the next decade). Conservative option: pick a company (and hope it picks you back) where you want to work, unless the upgrade is below 3 years, results from the past don't matter.