Clearly, even if the claimed great opportunity comes to pass and there is new flying to offset the loss of Delta flying, the SEA base is somewhat at risk.

Even so, there are lots of potential commuter flights out of SEA (and even some out of PAE) to both LAX and PHX, not to mention a lot of other hubs if the rumored new flying caused a base to be established in SFO or DEN (just to pull hubs out of a hat ).

It is actually doubly gratifying to see so many senior people moving on. Part of that is seeing ALPA people taking care of ALPA people, but the rest of it is that - assuming Compass does get the rumored additional flying, the seniority movement ought to be absolutely awesome.

Coming aboard after the 6 mo hiring freeze I barely had any reserve as a new FO. I’m talking days rather than weeks. Losing 40 senior people a month - that is, losing them to BETTER jobs - is the same sort of opportunity for someone coming up on upgrade. I’d have to check but I imagine we have ~360 Captains. At an attrition of 40 a month for even a couple of months reserve times for new captains left behind should be negligible - if we get the new flying.

Of course, that’s still a big if.