Thread: Class Drops
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Old 09-12-2019, 09:05 AM
  #698  
Bluedriver
The REAL Bluedriver
 
Joined APC: Sep 2011
Position: Airbus Capt
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Originally Posted by jamesholzhauer View Post
In 2014 we hired 10/16 in Aug/Sep, then 45 in Oct, 35 in November, and 23 in December. In 2015 it was 18/5 for Aug/Sep, then 36/32/32 for Oct/Nov/Dec. The monthly trends are all over the place for all years, but summer (including Sept) slow months aren't generally indicative of much, since Oct-Dec has, in many years, been a large uptick, regardless of low Aug/Sep numbers.

I'm not saying Oct-Dec will necessarily be high (I don't have hiring plans other than what the propaganda machine spits out at OSC), but I am saying that past data doesn't necessarily support lowered Oct-Dec hiring based off of lower Aug/Sep class size.

TL;DR: a monthly trend line in JB hiring is useless to predict future class sizes.
Well done, you're like a seniority list Rainman! Are you also a very good driver?

Hope you have seen the movie, otherwise that will be gibberish.
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