While it’s true F9 doesn’t have the same kind of retirement numbers as the legacies, it does have significant retirements over the coming decades.
Based on a quick estimate from the oct seniority list, 248 pilots will retire in the next 10 years. That’s about 17% of the current list. That may not be as significant for new hires, but for anyone who’s been here 2 or more years and already experienced a rapid seniority boost from growth, the retirements are meaningful.
For guys here more than two years, the growth we’ve already experienced plus the upcoming retirements will probably match the seniority progression they’d have by going to a legacy. If we also get the forecast growth that’s still on the books, then these pilots should far outstrip the seniority progression (based on percentages, which is what really matters) of their peers at legacy carriers.