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So your argument was that Boeing screwed up implementing MCAS. Which they did obviously.
But WHY was MCAS installed in the first place? Because humans stall airplanes...
We are obviously nowhere near aircraft thinking for themselves and making decisions. That is Skynet stuff. But cockpits in use today have been designed for human input - flap levers, gear handles, switch lights and push buttons.
No, I don't think the entire worldwide fleet will be gone in five years. But Airbus has stated they already have the tech and equipment now. The only thing holding them back are regulators.
Unfortunately for us flying an airplane is no longer the domain of skilled aviators. With the adaption of computer assisted controls and limits, manufacturers can make "flying" a plane as simple as pressing a button to takeoff, and one to land.
What remains is how well it can improvise in the advent of an emergency or failure. Which do happen on occasion. I think there will be seemingly little progress on single pilot and then bam out of nowhere we'll see it hit.
Countries that are more open to this stuff are already
gearing up to use Cessna Caravan sized drones to operate cargo flights. Completely autonomously.
Christian Scherer, who’s Wikipedia entry indicates he has an MBA degree, said that at the last PAS.
However, Airbus Chief Test Pilot, who retired last year, who might have a little more insight on this, said this...
‘He personally believes the A350-1000 today is technologically capable of single-pilot operation – “but that’s a long way away. It’s not a question of pilot workload, but that the second pilot is there to monitor the first and be a safety backup.” These are issues that technology alone will not resolve.’
Full article...
https://aviationweek.com/farnborough...ot-retire-high