Originally Posted by
dragongoliath
Here the actual attrition numbers:
Lets compare flow plan 19-13 dated OCT 15 2019 and flow plan 19-15 dated DEC 13 2019. Thats about 2 months between each.
Junior NFE went from 2389 to 2293
Junior DCL went from 1185 to 1108
A random pilot OCL sub 1000s went from 792 to 721.
A new hire moved up 96 numbers in 2 months.
A junior DCL moved up 77 numbers in 2 months
A senior OCL moved up 71 numbers in 2 months
the company sent to AA 58 pilots in 2 months via the flow.
Even the senior OCL had 13 people senior to him/her leave outside the flow in this 2 month period.
I'm guessing the two retirements mentioned earlier were lifers which had no effect on flow so it's really 11 over two months (and those two retirements mentioned were just for the one month, they're may be more to be considered), or about 5.5/mo over the two month period. I think that's pretty good but it will take nearly four straight months of that to effect the month you flow if you are past your first 3 years.
It remains to be seen if this will be sustained though. I have to wonder if the AIP fiasco over the summer caused a lot of lazy pilots to update their apps triggering interviews in the fall.