Originally Posted by
C2078
Reality is no one knows. All it takes is one politician to push the issue hard and it changes the dynamics. There might be significant public pushback, no appetite for the increase. So many moving parts.
Yup. The airline lobby will push and eventually the politicians will approve to mixed feelings by the public.
IMO - we may not see it for a decade or more and it'll start on a smaller scale - think cargo and regional flying. Even then - the US will not be the first to try it out. We'll first see it overseas with likely mixed results. One major accident though and you'll see 2 pilots back into all larger pax aircraft faster than any admittance of guilt.
All in all - we'll likely see the shift in corp aircraft before the airlines ever go single pilot. A big fleet transition to single pilot ops can change the dynamic of the industry. The Citation XL/XLS and Lear 45/75 fleets come to mind. But you can probably find enough RAC's to fill any open seats...