Originally Posted by Cyio

I am not sure what the threshold is for training, but would put it around 20-30 month to be at a comfortable level, otherwise the costs and times would go way up. The days of seeing 90 new hires a month are gone as that well has been tapped and the struggle to get those through training was enormous.

In terms of an AA seniority number, while the best option I can see, is unlikely as they would be afraid of the cost. It would solve all of AA's potential issues going forward. It would allow pilots to stay at the regionals longer knowing they already have seniority at mainline, helping to stop what will be a regional glut in the coming years. I just cant see how else they will do it as I honestly dont think recruiting 25 people a month is going to stop what could be a huge outflow of Captains in the next year or so. I know many who have less than 2 years left to flow that are actively trying to get hired at any major that will take them. If these people start getting picked up, it will spell trouble for the regional.

The next year should prove interesting for sure but I think the route they will take is just a free for all hiring bonanza where each major is trying to steal pilots from their competitors.