Originally Posted by Excargodog

also to consider:



https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat...s/343rank.html





Germany and Italy have the fourth and fifth highest median age. Half of Italians are over 46.5 years and half of Germans are over 47.8 years. By comparison, the US median age is 40.5 years. That is going to make a huge difference in mortality rate, everything else being equal. While that may not be a bit helpful for the US 65 year old diabetic and morbidly obese guy on his mobility scooter who has renal failure, the impact - from a strictly medical perspective - will be far less than in Italy or Germany.



By the same token, speed of spread is highly affected by population density. The population density in Italy is 518 people per square mile, Germany 603.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...lation_density



the US is 87 people per square mile. One would expect this pandemic to be both slower spreading and less severe in the US than in Europe or Japan.