I don’t think this is going away by summer. I’m by no means a pessimist, but the virus already spread from Wuhan and is uncontained. As long as it’s still spreading, there’s lingering fear and no vaccine, not many are traveling for nonessential trips. Look at any toilet paper hoarding American and you’ll see that fear drives every decision they make.

The quickest (and deadliest) way to deal with this is through herd immunity. The UK might be planning this as we speak. The rest of the world is trying to slow it down to fight it in pieces. The problem with that, while less may die from it, the resolution gets pushed out farther.