Old 03-16-2020 | 10:44 PM
  #44  
FNGFO
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Originally Posted by 5and20
You are deluding yourself. People who have been cooped up will be on unemployment. Most Independent restaurants will go belly up by the end of the summer.

There is a reason that SAVE stock is down the most. Most of SAVE passengers are the ones that will be hurt the most in this downturn.
The entire country will be in a lot of trouble if this is still going on by the end of the summer. Much less so if this is largely over by June.

This is will be a drag on the economy, but saying everyone who is cooped up will be on unemployment is just plain hyperbole. And the average SAVE passenger won’t mean much when the music restarts. Demand and who is willing to fly for what price point is going to be all over the map. That’s like saying the Legacies will recover quickly even though much of the convention/show season is passed, businesses will find other ways to communicate with clients and those businesses themselves will be coming off a three month survival period.

There’s no modeling for this. I don’t really care what’s Wall Street thinks will happen on a day to day basis. Tracking stock values on a day to day/week to week basis is setting yourself up for high drama.
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