Originally Posted by
rickair7777
Conventional wisdom is that top 80% is safe-ish.
Last few go-around (post 9/11) it was 10-15% furloughs at the majors. Specific numbers will vary by your airline's financial circumstances and in this case route structure since unlike a typical slowdown some destinations are very unpopular or outright banned.
Regionals can vary from growth due to down-shifting of mainline flying, to liquidation.
I don’t even feel safe in the top 55% right now. It’s getting ugly, FAST.