Originally Posted by
OTZeagle1
2,600 is a pretty good number, if things don’t turn around somewhat quickly. They just had numbers run for the return of all Airbus aircraft... those numbers are a little more sobering, with the add for dropping everyone to 65-75 hours the needed seniority would be approximately 2350 with the most junior captain left standing around 1250-1300. If you adjust for retirements and LOA, the number of actual furloughs would likely be 350-400 if we return the entire Airbus fleet.
The economy will be up again and running long before they manage to get rid of all of the Buses, or worn out old 737s for that matter...
I get it that this is a nasty virus; that the rate of infection is at least 3 times more than normal, and that older folks and those with underlying conditions are at a much greater risk of succumbing to it. However the real reason for the hyped up response by the govts and the medical professions as I understand it, is to "flatten out the curve" so that our hospital system is not overwhelmed over a contracted period of time.
So, the virus will be under control in a few weeks, but the economy will be damaged. My hope is not so badly damaged that Americans will not want, or not be able to get back on airplanes in droves, if for no other reason than to get over our collective cabin fever.