Originally Posted by
WutFace
Come on, Shy. You're always full of ideas. Your posts regarding COVID-19 seem to be.. incomplete. Explaining a problem then sort of trailing off. Very unlike you.
The point is that you can't say what your plan is out loud. I get it. You're being told that we should all get back to work and pretend that this isn't a big deal. For the sake of the economy. For the sake of the COUNTRY even.
But it's short-sighted nonsense. Imagine for a moment what 100 million infected would do to the economy. Think of the combined medical debt associated with that huge burden. Imagine what 2 million dead would do to the morale of this country. That many dead in a short amount of time would absolutely crush us. These aren't made up numbers, that's where this thing goes if it's business-as-usual.
So when you wring your hands about the DJIA being under 20k, think about the bigger picture.
Thanks yet again for putting words in my mouth and making this political.
I didn't say any of that crap. I didn't say anything about the Dow being under 20k.
But since you asked, here's my take. I'm not buying any of that math because it is all based on incomplete models and best guesses based on localized outbreaks in a city or a cruise ship that are extrapolated out. To use your own words modified, imagine for a moment since December from the first known case, that 100 million were already infected and vast overwhelming majority already recovered thinking it was a cold or a flu. The only reason cases keep increasing in this country is because we are doing more testing and identifying them. True cases could go from 120m to 80m but we won't know that since we're not testing everyone. We are increasing testing so obviously that means an increase in confirmation rates throughout the country. There is no conclusion to be made on what the real infection number is or whether that trend has gone up or down. You could only see that if you test everyone - and we are not.
2 million dead would do to the morale? Seeing how most people are these days, probably nothing - the same morale as after a mass shooting that kills 50. "Oh well, that sucks" and people move on. We would not lose 2 million in a couple months. In America we lose about 3 million a year, net total dead all reasons combined. I don't see any tears or shock spread for 3 million dying. Nor did I see any news articles exclaiming shock at the 35,000 dead from the flu this season. The CNN graphics of 850 dead and 58,000 cases represents only those that have been identified affected and that math shows 1.4% fatality. Consider a whole lot more Americans are already infected and don't get tested and recover on their own (if they get sick enough, they'll go to the hospital and be counted as a COVID infected/fatality). The reality is it seems the actual fatality rate is looking to be around 0.5% to 1% or so, if even that.
There is only one solution to COVID. A full effective vaccine. That is at least one year away, if not longer. We cannot keep the entire country shut down and live like this for one full year. There won't be an economy to return to by then. Nor am I saying open everything up and go back to normal by Easter. Somewhere in there should be a good level ground. People have bills to pay and mouths to feed. At some point they will take matters into their own hands and say eff it to what the government or the media is saying.
And NO, we should not declare martial law in all 50 states enforced by guns from the national guard/military. I can't believe some people actually want that.
There. Happy?
