Flip side of that equation, the govt is making whole with grants to ensure paying payroll til Sept 30. Huge capacity cuts means everyone sitting around anyway. If I had to guess, I think it still goes forward. And maybe not even 25 at a time, may as well do 75 in one instead of 3 bids. The email said Oct eff date to protect the summer schedule. Now there is no big schedule to speak of.

This virus isn’t going away. The only realistic solution is to wait for a vaccine and that’s at least 12 months away. Until people feel safe from it, forget air travel. Our industry is the first one out, last one in so recovery will be slow. If I had to guess worse case SF closes, all Buses returned on an accelerated schedule, and we go come out smaller on the other side. The same goes for all the other carriers. Even Ed Bastian said he expects Delta will come out leaner when this is over. The industry already suffered from a severe capacity dump. No more stupid base wars (like in SEA). Everyone ends up retreating to and fortifying their core bases. And since everyone comes out smaller, it takes care of the so called pilot shortage.