My guess is that from mid-April until June at earliest we will probably see next to zero flights for everyone. Legacies, regionals, low cost, etc. There will just be such low demand that theyll keep only as much flying as they have to for currency/maintenance/the law.

A good food for thought item will be how the ramp up will happen when we do punch through this event. As demand comes back, I doubt it will be as fast as the deterioration was. That will be when carriers succeed or die. Can they manage through the slow growth back to normal? The grants and lows might tide them through the worst but idk about the slow recovery.

I *hope* that because of their efficiency with lower load factors that the 50 seat aircraft will work well. But that remains to be seen