Testing is increasing but in terms of the curve of this virus in the usa we're roughly 1/3 of the way in while major cities health care facilities are nearing overcapacity which is where and why deaths will occur.
There's is 0 evidence that the mortality rate is dropping period. 183 deaths in NYC yesterday a new high with spikes of cases in new Orleans and Chicago as the new epicenters. Those 40000 ventilators NYC requested alone are not because the mortality rate is going down either for example again..
Though I get trying to be positive your numbers are simply not fact. Minimizing the issue at hand is what people like Fauci are trying to educate people on as social distancing, leveraged health care capacity and access to testing will start the decline of the mortality rate.
Imo the big f may be inevitable but is simply in hindsight if this virus isn't controlled correctly. I'd say just expect the worst and hope for the best