Originally Posted by Systemized

Before the massive attrition started, regionals were staffed up to about 10-11 pilots per plane. With hiring stopped almost everywhere, attrition and staffing will go back to pre-2014 levels. The current surplus covers the inactive pilots going through initial/upgrade training, that’s no longer needed.

Take your regional fleet count multiplied by 10 and that’s where your pilot size should get to after October when airlines can start furloughing.

The pilot shortage leverage is gone, be grateful about the contractual gains locked in during that time period and hold the line on concessions. The managements will certainly try and restart the whipsaw play. Prepare yourself once October hits.