Originally Posted by
OldFlyGuy
DL spent a ton on buybacks before 2006 BK. Best of times till they weren’t. Then couldn’t fund our pension. ESOP stock and options went to zero. Froze then terminated pension plan. Needed massive payouts to recover. Paid themselves massive bonuses post recovery and big raises while we fought for every nickel. Now DL goes from best of times to worst in 3 months time span. Spent ?10B on buybacks in 5 years. Could potentially file BK again. May ask for massive payouts and possibly attack non con pensions. Does anyone still want a pension tied to the corporation in any fashion and will they ever learn? Good luck. OFG. Retired. Gets every day off
Besides management incompetence I believe our financial laws would also need to be updated. If airlines accumulate a lot of excess cash doesn't it make them a juicy hostile takeover target ala Lorenzo and Icahn? There was definitely some things management should have done differently which would have minimized our exposure or at the very least it could have bought us more time to respond.
This is all Monday morning quarterbacking but why not use some of the free cash flow to pay cash for Jets? Fuel costs decrease greatly with a reduced flight schedule. Employee costs can also be reduced with leaves, SILs, early outs and furloughs depending on the time period involved. But I assume aircraft loan payments must go on. Perhaps DAL can get a grace period. Another thing to look at is a one time dividend bump, stressing the one time aspect so it would not be expected and not seen as decreasing dividends. Not even sure that would work.
In any case the very nature of stock buybacks for airlines seems to make them counterproductive. The only times airlines have extra cash to buy back stock is when things are humming along - consequently the stock is usually priced high at such times. When the stock is in the dumps (ie now) airlines usually don't have any excess cash to buy back shares.
So to answer your question - No I don't see anything being changed by management either learning or becoming more altruistic. If any change comes in my opinion it will be structural and encouraged through updating laws and financial rules.
Scoop