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Old 04-11-2020 | 06:33 AM
  #195  
Itsajob
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Originally Posted by BRJPilot
Consolidation! Some of the smaller companies are already so small that cutting them in half again won’t make sense. They will merge or will simply go under and their flying will be absorbed by others.
Who consolidates with who? According to a quick Google search, there about 340 aircraft(+some 550’s) in the 50 seat fleet. SkyWest has about 1/3 of them, while Air Wisconsin, CommutAir, and Expressjet all exclusively fly 50 seaters and collectively operate the rest. There are also about 250 aircraft that are 70+ seats, many of which are owned by a regional airline, and not United. If the 50 seat fleet is on the chopping block, why have consolidation among the exclusive operators? Why would others absorb equipment and people who are slated to be cut? United has invested money in companies like Expressjet, but if their fleet is not long for this world, would it be cheaper to write that investment off or to transfer United owned big rj’s to a company that they made a prior investment in? Kirby has repeatedly said that the 50 seat flying will be almost gone, a thing of the past, or have a significant reduction. If the company decides to practically eliminate a fleet type that makes up over half of the total hulls, how do you consolidate companies when half of the crews will no longer be needed? Outside of bankruptcy, they aren’t going to get scope relief, until things return to normal I don’t see United even entertaining the idea of purchasing a new 100 seat fleet type, and if they are still not interested in 100 seaters, they definitely won’t want mainline 76 seaters. I’m looking at this as an outsider or from a management perspective, not as a pilot with skin in the game. How does it work?
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