Originally Posted by
rickair7777
Sounds reasonable to me. Nothing's for certain though until we see how COVID plays out this year, and what the vax timeline is.
Vax doesn’t really matter. If we get it, it’s a plus, but if we don’t we’ll have herd immunity as a society just from all the people that will get this. All the business shutdowns are economically unsustainable and if they go past July will do more harm than good. We will be in full-on recovery DOMESTICALLY by Fall. I agree that business travel will likely take a long term 20-25% hit and the legacies will be a lot longer spooling up their international flying. But the general public is approaching a limit to their tolerance for the shutdown. You can only keep up the scare for so long. Eventually people adapt and cease to give a damn. We will soon be approaching that point IMHO.