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Old 04-16-2020 | 06:35 AM
  #229  
sailingfun
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP
That link says average onset of symptoms to death is 18.5 days, and mean exposure to symptom period is 5.1 days...that gets us to 23.6 days.

Of course, one has to consider the demographics of those who ultimately succumb to COVID...the elderly, smokers, those with asthma or COPD, obese, Type II diabetes, hypertension, etc. and how that plays into that average. Yes, some younger and otherwise healthy people die from COVID but cold reality is those are statistical outliers...just as outliers exist for other common diseases like influenza.

Don't mistake the above as questioning the disease's clinical severity in some patients - I'm not - but it is disingenuous to say "look at all the people dying even with mitigation" when deaths are a trailing indicator of infection and therefore it follows deaths only decline well after infections decline.
The other unreported issue is many of the Covid19 deaths would have occurred in the near term without the virus.