Originally Posted by
Half wing
I love how your condescending, not so rosy outlook has stayed exactly the same for years. I think MOP knows a little more about the demographics of fleets, how the displacements, furloughs, training will work, etc. The stuff you talk about is pretty obvious and you act like no one knows this stuff already. MOP asked you for some numbers. I think the point you were trying to make can be summed up in a post I made 2 weeks ago.
“The junior 737 CA is 11101, junior 320 CA is 11659. Junior 787 FO is 12884. The junior 777 FO is 13032. Only 4 777 FO’s junior to 12884. There are 72 777 and 787 FO’s Junior to 11659. There are 132 787 and 777 FO’s and 320 CA’s junior to 11101. First displacements may be targeted around these numbers.”
Obviously, it makes sense to do a chop at 11100 to save the ensuing bump game. Still, MOP’s prediction of a 1000 Furloughs at first followed by about 100 a month is a good wag. If a handful 737 PI’s get furloughed the amount of qual crews goes down even more than 60/mo. Takes some time to make new PI’s.
That's a lot of writing just to say we're looking at the same numbers.
I reread what I wrote today and can't see where I wrote anything indicating that I'm acting as if I "act like no one knows this stuff already." I mentioned that I referenced the seniority list, category seniority, and displacement rules in the contract. None of which are secret documents.