Originally Posted by
Excargodog
Cities have always been hit harder by airborne epidemics - dating back to the early days of Rome. On the other hand, if you are planning on having a heart attack or major trauma being in NYC near a hospital as opposed to someplace like Skagway Alaska is a huge advantage.
About a million people have a heart attack annually and 14% of them die of it. That’s 140,000 people. it’s even worse for major trauma. It kills 150,000 annually.
Bet you a fifth of Jeremiah Weed that coronavirus deaths in the US don’t hit 140,000 annually. Ever.
Also; cite your sources. the CDC states
647,000 Americans die from heartdisease each year—that's 1 in every 4 deaths.
Crucially; I can't catch your heart attack. You cant give yours to 3 other people...
The point that your analysis misses is that the covid19 deaths are
net new deaths. not reclassification of an existing death rate. granted; c19 tends (though the numbers are normalizing around 49 years old now..) towards mortality in older and sicker populations; Cardio Vascular deaths tend towards poorer communities. Left unchecked, with no mitigation strategies and credible forecasts predict anything up to 2 million net new deaths.
It sucks. No one wants to be broke, sad watching reruns in pajamas. everyone understands the economic costs of a shutdown; but the low number of deaths is a reflection of the success of the lockdowns. it's the lesser of two enormous evils...