Originally Posted by
WutFace
You've been downplaying this from the start. Never underestimate one's ability to refuse to acknowledge they were wrong.
In 2 months, it's already killed over 41,000 Americans, more than the annual fatalities caused by flu. And that's AFTER locking down the whole country. It has a revised R₀ of greater than 5.7, which means it's about 6x more contagious than flu.
I've come to the conclusion that most thick headed individuals will continue to downplay this right up to the point that it hits home for them. A spouse. A parent. A friend. Or even themselves. Until then it's a hoax, or the flu, or a conspiracy to get us to brush our teeth.
Anything but a global killer.
The initial fatality rate estimate for COVID-19 from the WHO was 3.8%. The newest estimate is 0.10-0.36%. 11 to 38 times less than initially feared.
I haven’t read about the newest R0 estimates. Do you have a link? The number I see is 2.6.
As more people become infected and develop antibodies it’s reasonable to assume the R0 decreases as their are less hosts able to transmit the virus.