Originally Posted by
UncreativeUser
Couple of things wrong so far with the last few days of posting, in my opinion.
1. [MENTION=89305]Gooch[/MENTION] There is no flow back, that has been mentioned multiple times in our forum and has been stated that it is not in our contract, thus AA can’t flow back into Envoy.
2. My flow was projected with silly union numbers to be 10.5 years one day one of hire. On the last interactive list, it showed 6.3. Our union cannot even replicate those same figures, so unfortunately they lack the credibility to provide insight on flow time, which brings me to point 3
3. Nobody on here, including myself, can predict flow especially right now. Once again, posts like these that are designed to detract pilots away from working here hurts yourself since the last flow group is predicated on how many pilots are on property. So, go ahead and keep bashing the hand that feeds but don’t be surprised why flow time could increase.
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It may increase a little but absolutely not the decade long time frame you mentioned in point 2. This is akin to a natural disaster and not an underlying weakness in an economy that was robust before all this happened. Demand will be back. The country is already beginning the process of opening up across the board. It won't be overnight, but by the end of May I can see being within 80% in terms of how open we were before. People are tired of being locked up and I've been reading bookings are through the roof for late summer in various beach and resort destinations.
As demand picks back up, you'll see aircraft gradually returning to service and hiring spooling back up down the road in the very near future. So, maybe an additional 6 months tops on the flow doe 6 to 6.5 total? Still, not bad.