Originally Posted by
WutFace
Why are you comparing a year to a month? And why don't you realize that COVID-19 is very dependant on geographic hotspot outbreaks? Open up the country, and the blue in your graph will flatten out nicely.
I'm not comparing a year to a month. The average flu season is 16 weeks long. 112 days. Nearly all of those flu deaths will occur during that time frame. The earliest COVID 19 death in the US is now estimated at Feb 7 per the CDC; 74 days ago. If the six states that are exceeding their previous flu deaths were at the same average COVID19 ratio as the remaining forty-four states, the national death toll would be around 24,000 today, well in line with a moderate flu season over the same span of time as a typical flu season. Obviously local factors are vital to identifying and mitigating problem areas and there is something very significant about the NYC area and outlying areas from NYC.
And why don't you realize that COVID-19 is very dependant on geographic hotspot outbreaks?
What? I specifically point out NY and NJ.