Originally Posted by
RJSAviator76
OK, let's go with 3,000 furloughs.
- What are you basing your furlough numbers on? I'd like to see some math, staffing levels, and the rationale for the numbers. Bear in mind, the loudest complaining about overstaffing has come from the line swine - not the company.
SWAPA was saying we were overstaffed by around 700-800 pre-Covid due to the Max. From what I hear, we are rotating about 180 airplanes into and out of the desert (to avoid the expense of pickling them). 180 airplanes at 14 pilots per airplane = 2500 pilots
2500+700 = 3200 pilots
- What is the breakeven savings point in time of any potential furlough and what factors are you basing it on?
At the legacies a sizable furlough is an expensive proposition. Each furlough generates a tremendous amount of training churn as pilots jockey for position in each displacement bid. At USAir it took 9 months post 9/11 for them to get to my furlough date and I was 1149 from the bottom. That massive expense is why they find it affordable to offer early retirements - it's cheaper.
At SW we don't have any such cost. Downgrades take a few days. Displacements are a morale problem more than a cost problem. It is cheap and efficient to furlough when you have a single fleet type.
- What do you think is our training capacity and once recalls become appropriate, how long do you think it would take to run 3000 pilots through the recall process?
I'm guessing based on statements they've made in the past that they can't accommodate much over about 1000 pilots per year to hire or recall. I forget how long you're out before you need an entire new initial to requalify.
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