the same CDC that said we shouldn’t wear face masks and is now saying we should? That CDC?


but yes, from their website:



My quick and dirty numbers assumed that our population was steady state, which of course it hasn’t been, it’s been expanding over that 80 year period. On the other hand, it has been getting larger AND older which means it still is likely higher than what they are showing which is 2017 figures. Even using their figure of 863.8 deaths per hundred thousand against a population of 340 million (counting non citizens) gives 3 million a year.

But the numbers of people 90 and over and 100 and over are right out of the census figures, 1.9 million and less than 75,000, so - yes, again allowing for 10 years of population growth, we are STILL talking about the US losing 180,000 people between the age if 90 and 100 alone every year.

while the quick and dirty numbers I threw out can be refined, the point is the same. Many and perhaps most of these coronavirus deaths were scarcely unexpected. And the case-fatality rate based upon the NYC finding of 21% positive for antibodies is scarcely more than a bad flu year.