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Old 04-24-2020 | 03:32 PM
  #195  
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block30
Bracing for Fallacies
 
Joined: Jul 2007
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From: In favor of good things, not in favor of bad things
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Originally Posted by emersonbiguns
Remember this one from the 12th:


Would you like to reconsider, or maybe find a better epidemiology school than Riddle?
Between the "shut down" crowd and "open up crowd" what is our common ground? Do you Agree, Disagree or shades in between with the following;

--The *case* numbers rise, but that was expected. right?

-- Total Case *numbers* will rise but *ratios*, particularly the fatality ratio, from hence forth should be fairly steady. Agree?

--COVID's so contagious the expectation was expected we will all get COVID eventually. Yes?

--Two recent studies show a REALLY low fatality rate. Rate is on par with the average seasonal flu, perhaps lower. Agree?

Supporting bullet points;
1. Stanford study states; "The Stanford study, led by Assistant Professor Eran Bendavid, concluded that the mortality rate in Santa Clara County is between 0.12% and 0.2%"

2. USC study finds; "A
ssuming a higher infection rate consequently lowers the disease’s estimated fatality rate, driving it from around 1 percent to just 0.12 to 0.2 percent. For the record, the death rate from the flu is about 0.1 percent."

3.Anthony Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, put it plainly: "The seasonal flu that we deal with every year has a mortality of 0.1%,”

Open Ended Final question:
--What fatality rate necessitates a shutdown?
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