Originally Posted by
IHateYou
They are not going to keep 4000 pilots around they don't need until 2023. Stop the reassuring. It took airlines more than 3 years to recover from 9/11. This stupid virus is way worse. Not only will there be big time furloughs, but big time pay cuts. Or you can pretend all will be fine in a few months.
Problem is with fear mongers like you is you equate a 30% reduction in manning with a 30% reduction in pilots. That's not how it works. If you are trying to reduce manning by 30%:
13000 pilots at 82 hours is 1.066M hours
10500 pilots at 70hrs MPG is 735,000
You got your 30% reduction with a 19% reduction in pilots while not needing to amend the UPA, and have the flexibility to staff for future summers 3-5 years down the line. Fear mongers like you will convince others in the group your numbers are a possibility and we need to take concessions to mitigate the amount of guys on the street, while data driven people know in reality they can't afford to cut as deep as you suggest, so no concessions are needed. They will not dig themselves in as deep of a hole as you think. Next year will suck, and we will be overstaffed, and everyone knows it, but they aren't going to cut 1/3 of the pilots to fix it.