If the company were to do that (furlough 8000 right away all at once) pretty much all the FOs are gone, and you’re just left with CAs. You’ve got narrow body fleets that have virtually no one qualified to fly them from the right seat. They’d need to start training the bulk of the widebody pilots en-masse now to have everyone in their new seats by October (for those avoiding the furlough). And you haven’t even had the displacement bid yet.

And much of American is still closed down. People aren’t traveling because there’s no where to travel to. Weddings, sporting events, Vegas, Disney, business meetings, conferences, conventions, etc, etc all on hold. Of course airports are still deserted. The outlook for summer 2021 will drive a lot of what the industry will look like going into the 4th quarter.