Originally Posted by
WutFace
You realize you just answered your own question, right? 72k from IMHE is the projection with all the measures that you're complaining about. Also IMHE's model stops Aug 4. No idea what happens after that, probably more of the same. So your 500k to warrant action requirement would have been met easily if we had treated this like the flu.
Also, the only definitive proof that exists for a global pandemic mitigation strategies would be a prior global pandemic. We haven't had one of those in over 100 years. I'll let you know how this one turns out.
Hey, come back with those goalposts....
People refuse to admit what they don't know. You have zero knowledge of what effect social distancing measures have on total deaths (not to be confused with "flattening the curve"). I'll reference the IMHE numbers numbers for the sake of discussion, but let's not forget at all where those numbers started. It's very convenient to say that the social distancing measures are the reason the models were so wrong to begin with. To use another cliche: heads you win, tails I lose.