Originally Posted by Lewbronski

It seems like maybe travelers are slowly beginning to return.


Looking at the TSA Total Traveler Throughput data, traveler throughput has increased each week in April. Comparing last week to this week, each day of the week has increased by at least 20%. Yesterday (a Thursday) saw 154,695 travelers, an increase of 38% over Thursday of last week. It was also the biggest day since Mar 29, when 180K travelers were processed by TSA. The week of April 12 appears to have been the low point.


If traveler throughput were to continue to increase by 20% per week, we would exceed last year's peak July throughout (~2.7 million per day) in about 22 weeks. A typical day from last year was about 2.2 million. Of course, it's unlikely that we'll sustain that level of increase for 22 weeks given the economic situation and the trepidation over covid. However, it does give us an idea of what could be possible.


The actual numbers recorded provide evidence that travelers are beginning to return. At the rate they are returning, it might be realistic to think that they could return to a level that significantly limits the carnage within a few months. This is all based on very limited information, so take it fwiw. But it's a small glimmer of hope and good news for now.


Concessions are a permanent solution to a temporary problem.