Here's an up to date TSA traveler throughput chart. I've been experimenting with charting different variables to see if there's any kind of correlation. I asked a guy with a masters in computer science from an Ivy League school to run a statistical analysis on some of the numbers. He used a "pair-wise Pearson correlation analysis" to evaluate the data.

The analysis found that there's no correlation at all between cumulative US covid deaths and traveler numbers. But, there is a mild negative correlation with daily new US covid cases (-.43) and a mild positive correlation with the number of US states that are open for business (.42). The scale is -1 to 1 with zero being no correlation. It goes without saying that correlation does not mean causation.

Here's the chart: blue (TSA traveler throughput), dark red (YOY change in throughput), yellow (daily new cases), green (number of states open). Yesterday, was the best day for traveler numbers since Mar 25 and the best YOY day since Mar 28. The numbers are continuing to improve.

9 May Travelers.jpg