Originally Posted by
Itsajob
Being that 30% of our list is around 4,000 pilots, considering what is going on, and how many analysts predict the recovery will play out, “only furloughing 2,300” could be viewed as an optimistic position. Furlough notices can go out in June for an October 1 effective date. From how I read the furlough section of the contract, none of those pilots would need to be trained according to a displacement award. Simply holding them at their current pay and then furloughing will be cheaper than training them. It will also free up slots at TK for those who will survive this cut. I don’t like how this is turning out, but this bid is definitely a pretty effective way to reduce quickly while adhering to the contract.
30% less than 2019 numbers in summer of 2021 would include 800 pilots gone to retirement, maybe 200 or so to medical outs, whatever furlough mitigation or early outs the union comes up with, and sprinkle in an insanely expensive process.c I wouldn't call it optimistic that 2300 number is still a lot of guys trying to provide for their families and includes myself. If you furlough a pilot you can core4 them as much as you want but you have lost them forever. Just think of the cost of icey cold guppies and two engine taxi outs for 30 years. A lot of ballgame ahead.