Originally Posted by
samc
Said facetiously:
So you’re saying that some pilots with a good math background and/or experience with applied mathematics/modeling can produce a predictive analytics product?
Lets say it was a different problem being analyzed and say we didn’t have pilots doing the analysis. Instead, we had people that spent decades doing it, you know, with PhDs. Maybe we call those people scientists, epidemiologists, or “academics” (uh oh).
It’s funny that we have people on one thread, making an attempt to understand the problems we face, using math or reasoning as a tool (good). Meanwhile on other threads we have people who deny what hundreds of professionals have produced, which has informed decision makers all over the world.
I’m not sure any profession has this much dichotomy of reason.
7500 over. Sorry.
when the numbers increase, some groups discredit the numbers:
false reporting
hospitals "want COVID money"
bad data
a guy driving home from his covid test crashes his car = COVID death logged
guy skydiving with COVID has a chute failure = COVID death
etc.
when the
same numbers decrease, they are not questioned. Everybody high-fives each other. "Numbers are credible" etc. "Lets re-open." "This was a big over-reaction" etc.
Confirmation Bias:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias