Originally Posted by
Zman81
For what’s it worth I spoken with the union reps, members of the NC, and chief pilots. No one is actually even talking about furloughs or numbers even. I am as frustrated as you are because I would like to see a projection as well. Most people are saying SWA is looking to hang on making sure that they are not being irrational and jumping the gun! I get that I truly do. But I also think every pilot has been in this industry long enough to read the tea leaves themselves. If flying is only 50% of what it was and we are only flying 50% of our jets. Then you can start to do some math to get a rough idea. It doesn’t help when you have places (the blue states) that plan to keep their states closed for business. Heck California is literally the 8th largest economy they say in the world. We need these states open to get a better idea of where travel truly is. That will show us how many people have been economically hurt by this which translates to their spending. I honestly would be shocked if we don’t furlough!! I recently said and I truly mean this. if we do not furlough going forward I will end up being one those old guys I use to fly with telling them don’t worry the company will take care of us. Everyone knows we were already overmanned because of the max going into this. This just literally multiplied how bad it got for everyone of us. Maybe we will have enough pilots taking early out and ETO’s to stave off any furloughs who knows.
I have posted this theory somewhere else, but it appears that two camps have emerged in the industry.
SWA and AA are posturing for a V or at least W shaped demand recovery. DL and UA are posturing for a flat recovery trajectory. In the end it's all a gamble. AA has little to lose since it is screwed if demand doesn't come back relatively quickly since their cash runway is relatively short. I trust our leaders at SWA, but I sure wish I knew what their "plan B" entails.