Originally Posted by
Itsajob
How does this work if we are down 50-60-70% in October? If demand isn’t remotely close to their planned 30% reduction number, what difference does it make if crews don’t get trained if they aren’t needed? They could still announce a big furlough, train people likely to survive, and then just cancel furloughs this fall if they come up short. If they don’t fall short they can announce another displacement/furlough and start the whole thing over. They are going to need to cut payroll significantly this fall, and my money says that they will find a way to make it work. Sure hope that I’m wrong, but this displacement is just the beginning of what is to come unless things recover dramatically.
im not sure what you seniority is but go look at what % you would sit as a NB FO. If they cut 4000 on OCT 1 there will be literally 18 FOs left on the bus in SFO and 12 in EWR. CAs can’t fly in the left seat they will have to train or force all the flying into DEN and IAH since there will be FOs there.
I can try to figure out the numbers later(unless someone else wants to do it) but my bet is that SFO/LAX/ORD/EWR/DCA combined have less than 100 FOs senior to 4000 on the bus. The 737 is better but not by much considering how much larger that fleet is.