Originally Posted by
MasterOfPuppets
im not sure what you seniority is but go look at what % you would sit as a NB FO. If they cut 4000 on OCT 1 there will be literally 18 FOs left on the bus in SFO and 12 in EWR. CAs can’t fly in the left seat they will have to train or force all the flying into DEN and IAH since there will be FOs there.
I can try to figure out the numbers later(unless someone else wants to do it) but my bet is that SFO/LAX/ORD/EWR/DCA combined have less than 100 FOs senior to 4000 on the bus. The 737 is better but not by much considering how much larger that fleet is.
I really don’t expect them to cut 4,000 (made up big number) on October 1, but I think it will be a significant number, and that they could get there pretty quick if they wanted to. The lower the demand, the bigger cut they can make. More senior bases like IAH and DEN can be significantly reduced and displace people to other bases. At the end of the day, where there is a will, there is a way. The contract slows them down, but they are going to do what they want to do.