Originally Posted by
Itsajob
I really don’t expect them to cut 4,000 (made up big number) on October 1, but I think it will be a significant number, and that they could get there pretty quick if they wanted to. The lower the demand, the bigger cut they can make. More senior bases like IAH and DEN can be significantly reduced and displace people to other bases. At the end of the day, where there is a will, there is a way. The contract slows them down, but they are going to do what they want to do.
they could drop 2500 tomorrow and not even flinch. The flying will be covered the training center will be fine and have instructors. They will be more than able to fly the winter schedule and will be right in line with the head count of DL & AA.
i don’t think 4000 will happen either but everyone thinks it’s easy to just drop thousands so I’m showing why it is hard. 3900 furloughs takes out every single post merger hire since NOV 2012 that’s why I picked it.
i will be shocked if we furlough more than 2500 unless we’re still below 50% by January.