Originally Posted by
MasterOfPuppets
im not sure what you seniority is but go look at what % you would sit as a NB FO. If they cut 4000 on OCT 1 there will be literally 18 FOs left on the bus in SFO and 12 in EWR. CAs can’t fly in the left seat they will have to train or force all the flying into DEN and IAH since there will be FOs there.
I can try to figure out the numbers later(unless someone else wants to do it) but my bet is that SFO/LAX/ORD/EWR/DCA combined have less than 100 FOs senior to 4000 on the bus. The 737 is better but not by much considering how much larger that fleet is.
That’s why this displacement is happening now. The company just prioritizes pilots who can retrain quickly into bus and guppy FO positions in bases they need them, especially people who just left the seats or Captains going back to right seats. They could have them trained in 2-3 months and fill the base. The company won’t care about reverse seniority order, etc. They are going to right-size the pilot group as fast as possible to get as many bodies off the property as they can starting October 1st. Once they do that, they will fine tune it. Wouldn’t be shocked to see a big initial furlough number, and then have them push out furloughs over Nov-Jan as they train replacements.