Originally Posted by Privateer89

So we’re 3,000 pilots overstaffed in fall 2020, roughly 30% based on our forecasted schedule. Delta estimated that they would be 7,000 pilots overstaffed in fall, roughly 50%. They also indicated that they would plan their staffing based on fall of 2021 which would be 2,500-3,500 overstaffed. Makes sense not to furlough based on this Q4 given that people will need to be recalled fairly quickly. It also makes sense that they are more overstaffed and will have a slower recovery because of their international exposure.

If we follow their model we would be 1,000-1,500 pilots overstaffed for Fall 2021. That number is hopefully attainable with voluntary measures. With the cash pile SWA has and their typical aggressive nature I’m optimistic that there will be no furloughs. Just look at how much more of a schedule we are flying now compared to the competition. In some cases we are the only option.