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Old 05-23-2020 | 06:30 PM
  #66  
Itsajob
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Many analysts are now saying that the recovery will begin in the 4th quarter of this year and many airlines will see demand down 50-60% at year end, and still down 20-30% for next year. If this displacement is setting up for a 30% reduction in staffing, how many instructors do they really need when there aren’t many pilots needed on the line? If we don’t need very many pilots, they have plenty of time to train crews and replacement instructors. October is still 4 months away, and summer 2021 flying is a long way off. They can still announce a big furlough and then get busy training people. They will be able to notify people of furlough in only 11 days. I don’t know if they will come out of the gate with the max 120 day notices, or wait for the 90 day notice depending on how deep they decide to go, but the waiting game won’t last much longer.
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