I honestly don't even think this flow down is something DALPA or management is even looking at right now, the current hot topic for DALPA is a good ERP program to get pilots out the door now. Ed has mentioned many times they plan to emerge a smaller carrier and will continue to be smaller in the years to come, having 35 less large RJs would work with a plan to continue to be a smaller airline.

A note on furloughs. Our crew resource manager says the current projection is to have 11,500-12,000 active pilots for summer 2022 which would mean a seniority list of around 13,000 pilots. Given the current retirements if Delta did nothing by the end of 2022 the seniority list will be lower than 12,800 with mandatory retirements alone. I personally don't believe furloughs are gonna go nearly as deep as people believe since usually they see about 25% more retire than the minimum mandatory and with a early out package. I am not saying there won't be any furloughs but I also don't think it will be more than 500 and if more than that not anymore than 1,000. This may or may not make sense to furlough because you would need to start bringing these people back in late 2021 at the absolute latest to meet the summer 2022 projection.

October is a long time away and so far Delta's recovery outlook has been a more worse case situation than what seems to be actually happening. Only time will tell on this though and we will find out the true plan over the next couple months.