Originally Posted by
UnprotectdPilot
I am speculating here, but I doubt there will be any consolidation among the AA WO regionals unless it's forced in bankruptcy court. I think AA likes being able to drive labor costs down by pitting labor groups against each other (aka 'the whipsaw').
I just hope they offer extended leaves of absences well in advance of any cuts they make so people can start making plans sooner than later. There's no way we're keeping everyone on board unless travel rebounds significantly. I don't know what that threshold is, but I'd suspect it'd have to be greater than 80% of last year's travel numbers this fall to justify not cutting jobs.
Keep an eye on the
TSA's traveler checkpoint numbers this summer, it will be telling as to what Envoy and AAG may be doing October 1st.
My thought has always been PSA and Piedmont merge. Together they are roughly the size of Envoy. I think there would still be some synergistic savings there. They are also both Eastern operations. That still gives AAG two nearly equal WOs to whipsaw.
I could see lay-offs as the time to make this happen and if there is a BK, definitely. PSAmont gets the 145s and the East coast flying.