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Old 06-03-2020, 11:13 AM
  #602  
Anson Harris
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Another prediction, based on a subjective interpretation of data. Many are just waiting to pounce on any statistical increase so that they can attribute it to relaxing the lockdown. There's no proof that one caused the other (and there never will be).

For just one example, look at the plot of New York's daily deaths. It's not a smooth curve; it has ups and downs. What causes this? Something called the "real world," which is a very complex place that resists modeling. Simplistic stats can never prove the reason why something occurs.