Originally Posted by
CoefficientX
I don’t think anyone has a problem with numbers that are slightly off but the numbers we were given in my state were wildly off. I do have a problem with that. We were told with no action or precautions 70,000 would die, with lockdown and social distancing measures 50,000 would die. To date we are at about 1100. That gives me a lot of heartburn when experts numbers are so ridiculously off.
Also, over 80% of the deaths here have been in nursing homes or other assisted living facilities. Over 99% had preexisting conditions with a median age over 80.
Id be very interested to see a follow up study which shows what the actual life expectancy would have been for the deaths in my state had they not contracted Covid. In other words, how sick were these people. My guess is with most of them, factoring in age and co-morbidity, it wasn’t terribly long anyway. That’s a far cry from comparing them to Vietnam era soldiers in their late teens who had full and complete lives in front of them.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, regardless of how deadly this virus is, we're going to steam roll right through it and open everything up. The amount of infected people is actually still really low, so I'm willing to bet very few of us have any firsthand experience with it:
https://www.covidexitstrategy.org/
Who knows, maybe it isn't that bad and only fatal if you're over 80. Maybe the numbers are correct and it really killed 100k out of the 2M people who got it. Regardless of how you feel about masks and social distancing, they do reduce the spread of communicable disease and stopping the spread would be the quickest way to solve this problem. This'll sound callous, but the people with the virus are the biggest threats to our careers and economy, not to mention health.