Originally Posted by
Rayjay
Looks like demand is slowly coming back. Hopefully Delta doesn’t screw this up. Flights have been full. Based on my machine of knowledge and quick napkin math, we should hit 500k by June 20th. If we hit 70% of last years numbers by September I think we’ll be okay.
I actually mostly agree with you here. I think Southwest is winning the frequency game in many markets (and are also blocking middle seats), but there has been a fair amount added to our schedule for the last part of June and that’s good to see.
I would not be surprised to see us hit 500k in the next 7 days, but I will be surprised if we get to 70% of total 2019 numbers this year due to the international slump. Maybe we’ll get to 70-80% of domestic flying (non-international connection domestic flying). I suspect that would probably result in a 10-20% furlough, absent another significant compounding factor. If we did somehow get to 70% of total 2019 numbers, I think we all might somehow scrape by.